Contacts

Why Some Crises Kill and Others Don’t

, by Giampaolo Gabbi
From trust to contagion: in financial systems, this is what determines who survives and who disappears

January 2002: Arthur Andersen admits to having shredded documents related to the Enron audit. March 2023: Silicon Valley Bank collapses following a bank run of $42 billion in a single day. June 2023: Eurovita is rescued by five insurance groups. Three crises — also reputational — but three very different outcomes. What determines the reputational survival of a financial institution?

Reputation as an Invisible Asset

In the financial system, reputation is not merely image: it is a signaling mechanism that reduces the information asymmetry between intermediaries and clients. Those who entrust money to a bank (e.g. through deposits or bonds) cannot directly assess its soundness; they rely on the credibility of the institution and the supervisor that authorized it.

This is what is known as “reputational contagion:” when a bank fails, depositors do not simply revise their judgement of that institution, they update their confidence in the entire regulatory framework. Unlike liquidity risk, this form of contagion does not travel through interbank transactions but through investor perceptions. Reputational risk consistently ranks first among the concerns of risk managers, ahead of regulatory, operational and market risk.

Three Cases, Three Different Dynamics

When Arthur Andersen admitted in January 2002 to having destroyed documents related to the Enron audit, the firm’s reputation collapsed rapidly. Clients departed following the formal indictment for obstruction of justice, forcing the firm to cease operations. The loss of both its license and professional trust sealed the definitive collapse.

Silicon Valley Bank represents the opposite case: a crisis rooted in structural causes, a maturity mismatch between assets and liabilities, heavy concentration in the tech sector, that rapidly escalated into systemic reputational risk. The contagion was real but selective: American banks were penalized in proportion to how closely their business model resembled that of SVB.

The Eurovita case demonstrates instead that a reputational crisis can be contained before it spirals out of control. The intervention of five groups absorbing the entire portfolio averted a disorderly wind-down. The initiative succeeded because the market was concentrated, the supervisory authorities were perceived as credible, and all stakeholders shared the conviction that a failure would have damaged the entire system.

What Makes the Difference

Four key variables emerge from these cases. The first is the nature of the crisis: a localized ethical failure is managed very differently from a business model crisis or an insolvency. The second is the speed of the response: those who intervene with clarity and decisiveness contain the contagion. The third is the structure of the sector: concentrated markets enable coordinated solutions that spread the risk. The fourth is substantive change: leadership resignations alone are not enough, as Wells Fargo demonstrates. The bank was engulfed in 2016 by the scandal over the fraudulent opening of millions of current accounts without customers’ knowledge. Replacing the CEO without a deep change in culture and incentive model did not prevent a lasting performance gap relative to competitors.

The Lesson for Decision-Makers

For managers, reputation is built through structural choices, diversification, capital adequacy and governance, as well as through a relationship with the regulator cultivated over time. For policy makers, an open dilemma remains: too much transparency during a crisis can amplify it, while too much opacity erodes long-term trust. There is no universal answer, but there is an imperative: to have built, before the storm, a system robust enough to withstand an orderly management of reputational crises.

GIAMPAOLO GABBI

Bocconi University
Department of Finance